The Arkansas Razorbacks are still undefeated after a narrow win last week, but they’ll have to be great to beat the Texas A&M Aggies at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas on Saturday, September 24 at 7:00PM ET.
This rivalry produces great games, and we anticipate another exciting one at Jerry World this weekend.
Will the Aggies hand Arkansas their first loss of the season? Continue reading our Arkansas vs. Texas A&M article to find out.
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Computer Predictions for Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Data from Predictive Analytics
- On the money line, Texas A&M has a 60% chance of winning.
- Texas A&M has a 58% chance of covering the -1.5 spread.
- Arkansas vs. Texas A&M has a 52% chance of going over 48.5 total points.
Check out our Arkansas vs. Texas A&M computer predictions for the best CFB computer picks. They are constantly updated based on hundreds of data points.
Analysis of Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M needed a win last week after an embarrassing 17-14 home loss to Appalachian State. The Aggies defeated Miami 17-9, but many of the same issues persisted. Texas A&M’s offensive line has allowed five sacks, ranking them 59th in the FBS.
The Aggies also average 3.87 yards per carry. While this statistic highlights the running backs, it also highlights the offensive line’s poor play. Texas A&M has talented running backs, but the offensive line has struggled to open up lanes for Devon Achane.
Texas A&M has also struggled at the quarterback position. Haynes King started the season’s first two games against Sam Houston State and Appalachian State. King threw for 461 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions in those two games.
In addition, he fumbled the ball twice. Max Johnson, an LSU transfer, played against Miami and was in charge of the football. Against the Hurricanes, he threw for 163 yards and one touchdown. Johnson also provides Jimbo Fisher with more mobility. The Texas A&M offense in general is a source of concern heading into this game.
Arkansas won both of its first two games convincingly. At home, the Razorbacks defeated Cincinnati and SEC foe South Carolina. Last week, Arkansas had trouble with Missouri State, but Sam Pittman’s team pulled away in the fourth quarter to win. The secondary is this team’s weak point. Arkansas allows the most passing yards per game of any FBS team. This past Saturday, Missouri State quarterback Jason Shelley threw for 357 yards.
This game’s spread is -2.5 in favor of Texas A&M. The Aggies have the better team. This season, however, they have struggled to move the football. Deep down the field, Arkansas is vulnerable, but Texas A&M isn’t built to exploit that weakness. As a result, we believe Arkansas will cover the spread and even win outright.
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This point total is low given Arkansas’s season average of 37.7 points per game. However, this will be the best defense Arkansas has faced thus far this season. This season, the Razorbacks have averaged just over 500 yards per game. They are unlikely to come close to that total against Texas A&M, which has allowed 301.7 yards per game this season.
We still believe that this total is a little too low. Texas A&M will most likely have more offensive success against Arkansas than it did in its previous two games. There will be opportunities for deep balls down the field, and we believe Johnson will do more damage than King. Overall, we like the Over here a lot.
Best Bet: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Over 49 points
We’re not overly confident in this game, but if we had to pick just one play, we’d go with Over 49. The Over should be hit if Texas A&M takes care of the football and maximizes its possessions. Arkansas’ offense is so explosive that it’s difficult to imagine this not being a track meet.
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